![]() ![]() We apply the method to improve the prediction of red tide along the West Florida Shelf in the Gulf of Mexico, which affects coastal water quality and has substantial environmental and socioeconomic impacts on the State of Florida. The ensemble size is then updated by selecting the subsets that improve the performance of the ensemble prediction using decision relevant metrics. In the prescreening step, the independent ensemble members are categorized based on their ability to reproduce physically-interpretable features of interest that are regional and problem-specific. We present the ensemble method of prescreening-based subset selection to improve ensemble predictions of Earth system models (ESMs). 5Fluid Dynamics and Solid Mechanics Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States.4Center for Environmental Measurement and Modeling, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Gulf Breeze, FL, United States.3Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States.2Center for Economic Forecasting and Analysis, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States.1Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States. ![]() Kranz 1, Julie Harrington 2, Xiaojuan Yang 3, Yongshan Wan 4 and Mathew Maltrud 5 Please like our page and learn interesting facts concerning red tide and other harmful algal blooms in Florida.Ahmed S. The FWRI HAB group in conjunction with Mote Marine Laboratory now have a facebook page. Archived status maps can also be found on Flickr. To learn more about various organisms that have been known to cause algal blooms in Florida waters, see the FWRI Red Tide Flickr page. The website also provides links to additional information related to the topic of Florida red tide including satellite imagery, experimental red tide forecasts, shellfish harvesting areas, the FWC Fish Kill Hotline, the Florida Poison Information Center (to report human health effects related to exposure to red tide), and other wildlife related hotlines. This information, including maps and reports with additional details, is also available on the FWRI Red Tide website. For more information on algal blooms and water quality, please visit Protecting Florida Together. The next complete status report will be issued on Friday, March 12 th. Please check our daily sampling map, which can be accessed via the online status report on our Red Tide Current Status page. įorecasts by the USF-FWC Collaboration for Prediction of Red Tides for Pinellas to northern Monroe counties predict net southwestern movement of surface waters and southeastern transport of subsurface waters in most areas over the next four days. Additional details are provided in the Southwest Coast report and for current information, please visit. Respiratory irritation was reported over the past week in Southwest Florida in Sarasota, Charlotte, Lee, and Collier counties. Along the Florida East Coast over the past week, K. brevis was not observed.įish kills suspected to be related to red tide were reported over the past week in Charlotte County.In Northwest Florida over the past week, K. brevis was not observed.In Southwest Florida over the past week, K. brevis was observed at very low to low concentrations in Sarasota County, very low to medium concentrations in Charlotte County, background to medium concentrations in Lee County, and background to low concentrations in and offshore of Collier County.Recent satellite imagery (3/2 NOAA, USF) indicated the presence of chlorophyll patches along and/or offshore of Charlotte, Lee, Collier, and Monroe counties. Bloom concentrations (>100,000 cells/liter) were observed in three samples from Charlotte County and seven samples from Lee County. Over the past week, K. brevis was detected in 53 samples at background to medium concentrations. The red tide organism, Karenia brevis, persists in Southwest Florida. ![]()
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